Serial macro cross-market bettor
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Serial cross-market trader with large same-event positioning is adding to a No thesis on a quiet Fed-rate market, though the wallet’s headline win rate is partly driven by heavy favorites.
Total
$2,102
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$72,121
Analysis
- This trader has bet across 157 events and is positioning across 5 related Fed markets with $31K total exposure.
- They are adding to an existing No position, with this trade equal to 71% of the market’s 24h volume.
- The wallet is profitable overall, up $66K across about $20M invested, but often buys heavy favorites.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 80¢
Detected July 15, 2026 at 2:07 AM