82% serial cross-market winner

A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Proven cross-market trader with an 82% resolved win rate is taking a No position on a political ballot market, though the bet size is modest relative to liquidity.
Total
$1,400
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$32,783
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $29.6k lifetime.
- They have traded across 25 events and 28 markets, suggesting a repeatable research edge.
- The new position backs No at 68¢, against a market currently pricing Yes around 33%.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 68¢
Detected July 15, 2026 at 3:34 PM