Sharp serial political bettor
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Proven high-performing wallet with an 85% win rate and $1.07M profit is buying No on a long-dated German election market.
Total
$1,707
Trades
1
Win Rate
83%
Wallet P&L
+$1,070,382
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.07M lifetime.
- They have traded across 42 events and 57 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Buying No at 61¢ goes against a market where Yes has recently drifted lower, reinforcing the bearish AfD-majority view.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 61¢
Detected July 16, 2026 at 1:42 AM