Whale buying Yes quietly
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A repeat-flagged wallet effectively bought about $69k of Yes at ~16¢, over 16x recent 24h volume on a quiet long-dated geopolitical market, though its resolved track record is not strong.
Total
$49,052
Trades
3
Win Rate
40%
Wallet P&L
-$41,214
Analysis
- A single wallet put $69k toward Yes, more than 16x the market’s recent 24h volume.
- The trade is effectively buying Yes around 16¢, a low-probability entry with large upside if risk rises.
- This wallet has been flagged 5 times before, but its resolved record is limited at 4 wins and 6 losses.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 16¢
Detected July 19, 2026 at 9:01 AM