Proven sharp scaling into Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A proven bettor with a 79% win rate and $44,924 profit is adding to an existing Yes position at 33%, indicating meaningful conviction despite the modest alert score.
Total
$1,343
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$44,924
Analysis
- This bettor has won 79% of 28 resolved positions and is up $44,924.
- They are adding $1,343 to an existing $4,453 Yes position at 33%, rather than merely opening a small trade.
- The 33¢ entry implies they view the 140–159 tweet range as substantially more likely than the market’s 32% estimate.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 33¢
Detected July 20, 2026 at 4:44 PM