Serial bettor scaling into No
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from July 20, 2026, through July 26, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
A serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate is adding $6,279 to an existing No position, though the historical edge is modest relative to the 85% average winning entry price.
Total
$5,284
Trades
1
Win Rate
92%
Wallet P&L
+$24,616
Analysis
- This bettor has won 92% of 60 resolved trades and is up $25,212 overall.
- They are adding $6,279 to an existing No position, bringing total investment in No to $17,039.
- The trade buys No at 74¢ while the market is priced around 76¢, implying continued confidence that fewer than 50 ships will transit.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 74¢
Detected July 24, 2026 at 8:27 PM