Seven-wallet Fed hike cluster

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
A seven-wallet Yes cluster and 36x volume spike indicate coordinated conviction, though the individual trader's 69% win rate is not independently sharp and this is an add to an existing position.
Total
$4,862
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$66,207
Analysis
- Seven wallets bought Yes together, committing nearly $10,000 to the same Fed-hike outcome.
- Trading volume spiked to 36 times its historical average, while Yes has risen 10% over the past week.
- This wallet is adding to an existing Yes position at 61¢, but its 69% win rate does not independently prove a strong edge.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 61¢
Detected July 30, 2026 at 8:12 AM