94% winner buys Maine Republican upset

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.1M profit made a concentrated $3,148 purchase that was more than eight times the market's 24-hour volume.
Total
$3,148
Trades
1
Win Rate
91%
Wallet P&L
+$1,001,514
Analysis
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions—275 of 293—and is up about $1.1 million.
- The $3,148 Yes purchase was over eight times the market's 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction.
- The entry at 34¢ implies the bettor sees a meaningful chance that Republicans win despite the market pricing Yes at 34%.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 34¢
Detected August 1, 2026 at 9:00 PM