Serial trader adds to No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify. Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border. Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify. Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A serial cross-market trader with 383 resolved bets is adding to an existing No position amid a sharp Yes price surge, though the wallet’s historical win rate does not clearly beat its average entry odds.
Total
$1,993
Trades
1
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$109,468
Analysis
- This wallet has traded across 60 events and 83 markets, with 383 resolved bets and a 74% win rate.
- It is adding roughly $1,589 to No while Yes has surged 32% in one day.
- The bet represents about 60% of recent market volume, in a market with a wide 14-point spread.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 42¢
Detected August 2, 2026 at 2:02 PM