Profitable whale in thin market
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A profitable serial cross-market trader made a very large buy into an extremely thin political market, a setup that can be worth tracking despite the poor immediate mark-to-market.
Total
$3,500
Trades
1
Win Rate
49%
Wallet P&L
-$23,645
Analysis
- This bettor has won 63% of 377 resolved markets and is up nearly $70k overall.
- They pushed $3.5k into a market that had only $152 of prior 24-hour volume, with a very thin $523 liquidity pool.
- The trade came at 67¢ in a political market with a 39-point spread, showing strong conviction rather than routine flow.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 67¢
Detected April 5, 2026 at 11:17 PM