Sharp bettor scaling into funded No cluster

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
A proven 91% win-rate bettor is adding a large No position through a three-wallet funded cluster in a relatively thin market.
Total
$7,419
Trades
1
Win Rate
92%
Wallet P&L
+$197,239
Analysis
- This bettor has won 20 of 22 resolved positions and earned $202,768 in realized P&L.
- They added $7,419 to No at 36¢ while already holding $21,212, showing increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- Three wallets sharing a funder are positioned on the same thesis, and the bet represented over three times the reported 24-hour volume.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 36¢
Detected August 9, 2026 at 4:53 PM