Three-wallet Yes conviction cluster
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Three wallets took aligned Yes exposure totaling $5,612, including a highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor, amid a sharp 40.5% one-day price increase.
Total
$5,612
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three wallets aligned on Yes with $5,612 of exposure, including a converted No sale equivalent to buying Yes.
- One bettor wins 93% of trades and is up $369,000, while another is up $1.11 million.
- Yes has surged 40.5% in one day, suggesting the coordinated buying coincided with strong market repricing.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 67¢
Detected August 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM