82% winner buys No in thin market
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 82% win rate placed a large No bet in a thin market, making this a credible copy-trade signal.
Total
$1,093
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$205,315
Analysis
- This bettor has won 82% of 867 resolved trades and earned about $201,000 in profit.
- The $1,093 No position is roughly 184% of the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
- The trader has positioned across 41 markets and 34 events, suggesting an experienced, repeatable strategy rather than a random wager.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 53¢
Detected August 12, 2026 at 4:20 PM