Serial trader scales into thin market
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A serial cross-market trader made a very large fresh addition to an illiquid Scott Singer position, driving upward pressure despite only a modest historical edge.
Total
$2,192
Trades
1
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
-$16,533
Analysis
- The $2,192 purchase was nearly 19 times the market’s 24-hour volume and exceeded its available liquidity.
- This bettor has traded 107 markets across 98 events, with 912 wins from 1,285 resolved bets and $28,956 lifetime profit.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Yes position around 82¢ as the market has risen 16% over the past week.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 82¢
Detected August 14, 2026 at 11:04 AM