94% winner scaling into Yes
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge added more Yes exposure at 49¢ in a thin market that has since risen sharply.
Total
$3,054
Trades
2
Win Rate
91%
Wallet P&L
+$33,340
Analysis
- This bettor has won 33 of 35 resolved positions, earning $34,425 while beating entry odds by roughly 30 percentage points.
- They added about $3,054 of Yes exposure at 49¢, increasing an existing $6,370 position rather than merely taking profits.
- Yes has since surged to roughly 76%, while the market remains thin with only $183 liquidity and a wide spread.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 49¢
Detected August 19, 2026 at 9:49 PM