Serial trader scales into No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming At-Large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A serial cross-market trader with a profitable 356-bet history added substantially to an existing No position during a 221x volume spike, though the historical edge is moderate.
Total
$3,200
Trades
1
Win Rate
65%
Wallet P&L
+$246,347
Analysis
- This trader is up $286,751 across 356 resolved bets and has participated in 60 events.
- The $3,200 addition increased an existing No position during a 221x volume spike.
- No was bought at 60¢, implying the trader valued Chuck Gray's nomination probability below 40%; the wallet is already invested $8,589 on No.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 60¢
Detected August 19, 2026 at 2:20 AM