Sharp bettor scaling into Yes

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
A highly profitable bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to a Yes position at 30%.
Total
$1,739
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$26,216
Analysis
- This bettor has won 82% of 109 resolved trades and is up $25,454 lifetime.
- They are adding $1,800 to an existing Yes position, with roughly $16,737 already invested at 30¢.
- Yes has risen 6% over the past week, while the 30¢ entry implies meaningful upside if AfD wins an absolute majority.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 30¢
Detected August 21, 2026 at 6:04 PM