Serial trader scaling into No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A serial cross-market trader added $2,022 to an existing No position amid a 171x volume spike and a sharp No price rise, creating a notable though not elite conviction signal.
Total
$17,101
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$75,880
Analysis
- The market saw a 171x spike versus its historical trading volume, while No rose 27% as money entered.
- This trader added $2,022 to an existing No position worth $5,397, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- The wallet has resolved 390 trades with a 66% win rate and has traded across 69 markets.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected August 21, 2026 at 11:28 PM