Proven serial trader buys No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate and $478,613 profit is taking a fresh position on No at 60%.
Total
$1,052
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$523,604
Analysis
- This bettor has won 77% of 914 resolved trades and earned $478,613 in profit.
- The wallet has traded 602 events, suggesting broad and experienced market coverage rather than a one-off bet.
- It bought No at 60%, below the current 64% market price, with the position already moving in its favor.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 60¢
Detected August 22, 2026 at 4:56 PM