82% win-rate serial trader buys Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A highly experienced serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,631 bet on Yes at even odds.
Total
$1,631
Trades
1
Win Rate
83%
Wallet P&L
+$212,111
Analysis
- This bettor has won 82% of 885 resolved trades and is up $210,685.
- The wallet has identified opportunities across 46 events and 54 markets, indicating a broad track record rather than a one-off bet.
- A fresh $1,631 Yes position at 50¢ implies the trader sees meaningful value near even odds.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 50¢
Detected August 22, 2026 at 11:23 PM