93% winner scaling into No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 93% win rate is adding $2,518 to an existing No position in a relatively thin market.
Total
$2,518
Trades
1
Win Rate
93%
Wallet P&L
+$79,296
Analysis
- This bettor has won 93% of 94 resolved trades and is up $79,123 lifetime.
- They added $2,518 to an existing No position at 75¢, signaling increased conviction that no new agreement will be signed.
- The trade represented about 178% of the market’s recent 24-hour volume, while No has risen to 78%.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 75¢
Detected August 23, 2026 at 9:54 PM