Two proven bettors scaling into No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Two highly profitable serial bettors are adding roughly $24,500 to No at 83–84¢, alongside a sharp volume spike and concentrated three-wallet flow.
Total
$24,475
Trades
4
Analysis
- Two bettors with 87–88% win rates and over $812,000 combined lifetime profit are buying No.
- Three wallets placed $24,475 on No, representing 143% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The 26.4x volume spike and serial cross-market activity reinforce a concentrated directional thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 83¢
Detected August 23, 2026 at 9:54 PM