Proven sharp buying No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A highly profitable bettor with an 80% win rate and strong historical edge is buying No at a near-market price in the Texas Senate race.
Total
$3,260
Trades
1
Win Rate
80%
Wallet P&L
+$4,064,300
Analysis
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and has earned about $3.85 million.
- The wallet has traded across 161 events and 252 markets, providing unusually strong evidence of repeatable skill.
- The No position was opened at 51¢, close to the 52% market probability but still supported by this bettor’s documented edge.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 51¢
Detected August 25, 2026 at 12:49 PM