96% win-rate bettor

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate put $4,000 into No at 86¢ on a long-dated SpaceX IPO valuation market, making this a credible sharp-trader signal despite only one trade.
Total
$4,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
96%
Wallet P&L
+$16,196
Analysis
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $10.8k on $35.3k invested
- They have traded across 77 events and 80 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought No at 86¢, meaning they see SpaceX finishing at $3T or less — or never IPOing by 2027
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected April 7, 2026 at 3:22 AM