Serial trader scales into No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A serial cross-market trader with a substantial history is adding $2,580 to an existing No position in an extremely thin market, though the 70% win rate is not independently exceptional against a 75% average winning entry price.
Total
$2,580
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$25,465
Analysis
- This trader has made $2.1M of resolved-market investments across 111 bets and is adding to an existing No position.
- The $2,580 purchase was nearly nine times the market’s entire 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in a thin market.
- No was bought at 51¢ and is now around 53¢, with a very wide spread creating execution risk.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 51¢
Detected September 2, 2026 at 11:36 AM