Part of: GPT-6 released by…?
Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether OpenAI will make GPT-6 publicly accessible by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves Yes only if OpenAI clearly announces general-public access, including an open beta or rolling waitlist; closed beta and private access do not qualify. The market currently tracks $2,580 in smart money across one signal, with a recent trader scaling into No.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,580.
Categories: OpenAI, GPT-5, Big Tech, AI, Tech, sam altman, AI Releases
Notable Trades
Serial trader scales into No
A serial cross-market trader with a substantial history is adding $2,580 to an existing No position in an extremely thin market, though the 70% win rate is not independently exceptional against a 75% average winning entry price.
- This trader has made $2.1M of resolved-market investments across 111 bets and is adding to an existing No position.
- The $2,580 purchase was nearly nine times the market’s entire 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in a thin market.
- No was bought at 51¢ and is now around 53¢, with a very wide spread creating execution risk.
$2,580 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0xb17d...59ae — Outcome 41037281, $5,500 (82% win rate)
- 0x28b2...eb4f — Outcome 41037281, $1,263 (69% win rate)
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 41037281, $208
- 0xb41e...11fd — Outcome 41037281, $106
- 0x8c07...2967 — Outcome 41037281, $100
- 0x9456...4f9f — Outcome 41037281, $37
- 0x510f...a43c — Outcome 41037281, $30
- 0x0711...f03c — Outcome 41037281, $20
- 0xb87f...f7d4 — Outcome 41037281, $16
- 0x0275...b936 — Outcome 41037281, $15
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