Serial sharp bettor buying No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate across 901 resolved bets is buying No at near-market odds in a liquid, active market.
Total
$1,061
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$263,290
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of 901 resolved bets and is up $225,840 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 53 events and 61 markets, indicating a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off wager.
- It bought No at 72¢ while No is around 70%, with room to follow up to 82¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 72¢
Detected September 2, 2026 at 2:25 PM