Serial cross-market GPT-6 bull
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A serial cross-market trader with 111 resolved bets and 70% wins increased bullish GPT-6 exposure by selling No at an effective Yes price of 76¢, though the trade appears partly related to an existing position.
Total
$2,581
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$25,465
Analysis
- This bettor has traded 40 markets across 27 events, with 78 wins in 111 resolved bets and $281,000 lifetime profit.
- Selling No at 24¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 76¢, adding bullish exposure while already holding a $4,059 Yes position.
- The market has risen 18 percentage points this week, but the current 90¢ ask is above the suggested copy ceiling.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 76¢
Detected September 2, 2026 at 4:23 PM