Serial bettor scaling into No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A serial trader with 3,364 resolved bets is adding $2,107 to an existing No position in an extremely thin market, though the trader's 94% win rate does not clearly exceed the 96% average winning entry price.
Total
$1,342
Trades
1
Win Rate
94%
Wallet P&L
+$19,496
Analysis
- The trader has participated in 48 markets across 35 events with 3,364 resolved bets and a 94% win rate.
- The $2,107 purchase was nearly seven times the market's entire 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in No.
- This adds to an existing $3,743 No position at an average 85¢ entry rather than representing a casual one-off trade.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected September 2, 2026 at 4:58 PM