Seven-wallet funded Yes cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Seven wallets sharing a funder are aligned on Yes, and the trader is adding to an existing position despite a 30% market price.
Total
$1,550
Trades
1
Win Rate
65%
Wallet P&L
+$157,506
Analysis
- Seven wallets sharing one funder are positioned on Yes, creating a meaningful coordinated signal.
- The wallet is adding to a $10,000 existing Yes position, raising its average entry from 27¢ to roughly 31¢.
- Yes is available near 30%, while the trader has a 67% win rate across 212 resolved bets, though that record is not strongly above its typical purchase odds.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 31¢
Detected September 3, 2026 at 12:02 AM