82% winner buying No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A highly experienced bettor with 900 resolved trades, an 82% win rate, and a substantial edge is buying No at 79%.
Total
$1,281
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$258,382
Analysis
- This bettor has won 82% of 900 resolved trades and earned $223,051 in P&L.
- The trader’s results outperform their average entry odds by 22%, indicating a meaningful long-term edge.
- They are buying No at 79¢, aligned with the market’s current 80% No probability.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 79¢
Detected September 3, 2026 at 1:02 AM