Whale bet in a thin market
Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Skåne, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Skåne following the 2026 Swedish regional elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Skåne; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A $4,015 No bet represents over 140 times the market's 24-hour volume in an exceptionally thin political market, and the outcome has since risen to about 70%.
Total
$4,015
Trades
1
Win Rate
55%
Wallet P&L
+$152,053
Analysis
- This bettor put $4,015 on No—more than 140 times the market's $29 daily volume.
- No has risen from the 41¢ entry to roughly 70%, while Yes fell 30% over the past day.
- The wallet has 1,299 resolved trades and is up $162,380, though its 56% win rate is not exceptionally sharp.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 41¢
Detected September 4, 2026 at 3:07 AM