Large contrarian Yes bet
Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Skåne, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Skåne following the 2026 Swedish regional elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Skåne; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A large equivalent Yes position in a very thin market caused a major price move, though the wallet lacks a strong historical win rate.
Total
$1,060
Trades
1
Win Rate
44%
Wallet P&L
+$164,340
Analysis
- A $1,060 trade was placed in a market with only $29 of detected 24-hour volume, making it a highly concentrated position.
- The sell of No at 75¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at about 25¢, after a sharp 34-point market move.
- The wallet has a long 672-bet history and is up $159,000 overall, but its 43% win rate is not especially compelling.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 25¢
Detected September 4, 2026 at 8:40 AM