Sharp bettor scaling into Yes

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
A proven bettor with a 78% win rate and 45% edge over implied odds is adding to an existing Yes position at 37 cents.
Total
$1,040
Trades
1
Win Rate
78%
Wallet P&L
+$47,315
Analysis
- This bettor wins 78% of trades across 50 resolved positions and is up $47,040.
- Their results imply a 45% edge over the average odds paid, making this political position notable.
- The $1,040 purchase adds to an existing $2,814 Yes position, signaling sustained conviction as the price rose to 42 cents.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 37¢
Detected September 7, 2026 at 6:49 PM