Sharp bettor buys No in thin market
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A proven bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated No bet that exceeds the market's recent trading volume.
Total
$1,938
Trades
1
Win Rate
78%
Wallet P&L
+$142,647
Analysis
- This bettor wins 78% of 92 resolved positions and is up $142,043 lifetime.
- The $1,938 No bet represents nearly 190% of the market's 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in a thin market.
- The wallet has traded 55 markets across 41 events, providing a substantial track record beyond this single position.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 54¢
Detected September 8, 2026 at 8:34 AM