Smart Money SignalScore: 4.0

Whale scaling into No

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).

A serial cross-market trader added a substantial No position in a very thin market, with the trade exceeding ten times recent daily volume despite only a moderate historical win rate.

Total

$2,884

Trades

1

Win Rate

64%

Wallet P&L

+$103,548

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 88¢

BerlinGermanyPoliticsElectionsGerman ElectionsGlobal ElectionsInternational Election Props
View all alerts for Will Grüne win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Detected September 11, 2026 at 5:22 PM

Whale scaling into No | PolySpotter