New wallet scaling into No
If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
A new wallet is adding a sizable No position in an extremely illiquid market, though it lacks a proven track record.
Total
$1,041
Trades
1
Wallet P&L
-$9
Analysis
- This 26-day-old wallet added $1,041 to an existing No position worth nearly $2,000.
- The trade represented over 1,000% of reported 24-hour volume in a market with only about $116 liquidity.
- No was bought at 64¢, broadly matching the 63% market probability, so the signal is conviction and market illiquidity rather than a clear demonstrated edge.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 64¢
Detected September 17, 2026 at 3:48 PM