87% win-rate contrarian
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A highly profitable serial event trader with an 87% win rate bought No at 18¢ in a liquid politics market that has recently moved sharply the other way, making this a notable contrarian bet worth watching.
Total
$1,590
Trades
1
Win Rate
21%
Wallet P&L
-$285,646
Analysis
- This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up about $420k across 270 resolved markets
- They trade heavily across related events — 96 events and 133 markets — which suggests a repeatable edge in politics-style markets
- They bought No at 18¢ while Yes has surged recently, signaling a low-price contrarian view against current momentum
Copy Trade
Buy No at 18¢
Detected April 8, 2026 at 3:34 PM