Three-wallet contrarian sell cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that adopts a new official name for artificial intelligence, or directs a federal agency or the federal government to adopt one, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying action must replace or supersede "artificial intelligence" as the federal government's designation for the technology itself. Any replacement name qualifies, including "Superior Intelligence", "Extreme Intelligence", "Supreme Intelligence", or "Genius Intelligence"; the name chosen has no bearing on resolution. An order that directs an agency to adopt or implement such a name within a stated period qualifies. Statements, speeches, interviews, press conferences, and social media posts, including polls posted to social media, do not count. Renaming a federal office, agency, program, task force, commission, or military service, such as an "AI Force", does not count unless the same action also renames the technology itself. Renaming a specific product, model, or private-sector system does not count. Incidental use of an alternative term in the text of an order, without a directive adopting it as the official designation, does not count. The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three wallets sold $11.4K of Yes amid a sharp odds rally and a 17.6x volume spike, creating a notable contrarian No signal despite some evidence of profit-taking.
Total
$11,362
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three wallets sold $11,399 of Yes while the market’s Yes odds had surged 53% in a day.
- Trading activity was 17.6 times the historical average; two of the three wallets have positive lifetime P&L.
- Some sales may be profit-taking from existing Yes positions, so the No signal is not unambiguous.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 21¢
Detected September 29, 2026 at 3:06 PM