Serial bettor adding to a major Yes position

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
A proven high-win-rate serial bettor added $4,603 to an existing Yes position in a quiet market, making this a notable conviction trade despite the relatively high entry odds.
Total
$4,603
Trades
2
Win Rate
88%
Wallet P&L
-$45,541
Analysis
- This bettor has won 92% of 193 resolved trades and has made over $48,000.
- They added $4,603 to an existing Yes position, bringing their investment to about $10,100.
- The market traded just $183 in the last 24 hours, so this buy was unusually large relative to recent activity.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 83¢
Detected September 30, 2026 at 6:55 PM