Profitable serial trader adding to No

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A highly active, profitable trader with a 90% historical win rate is adding to a substantial No position, alongside a large volume spike.
Total
$2,012
Trades
1
Win Rate
87%
Wallet P&L
+$114,370
Analysis
- This trader has won 90% of 415 resolved bets and is up about $115,000 overall.
- They added $2,012 to No while already holding a $24,617 position; No is currently priced at 93%.
- The market saw a 73.9× spike versus its historical average, with this trader active across 27 events.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected October 4, 2026 at 9:31 PM