Proven bettor adding to No

A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate is adding a substantial $18,725 No position to an already large holding.
Total
$18,725
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$5,082,241
Analysis
- This bettor has won 81% of 231 resolved markets and is up $4.6M lifetime.
- They added $18,725 to an existing No position averaging 63¢, with No currently around 70¢.
- The market’s thin 24-hour volume makes this bet a substantial share of recent trading.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 70¢
Detected October 5, 2026 at 3:34 PM