Serial trader adds to large Yes position
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A highly experienced trader added $8.6k to an existing Yes position, a purchase over four times the market’s 24-hour volume, though their 90% win rate is only modestly above their average winning entry price.
Total
$8,568
Trades
2
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$514,454
Analysis
- A bettor with 331 resolved trades and a 90% win rate added another $8,568 to their existing Yes position.
- The buy was more than four times the market’s $1,884 daily volume, bringing their disclosed investment in this market to about $19,500.
- Their track record is strong, but their average winning entry price is 85¢, so the historical results suggest only a modest edge over the 82–84¢ entry here.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 83¢
Detected October 10, 2026 at 1:23 PM