84% win-rate macro bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with an 84% win rate sold No here, which converts to a fresh buy of Yes at 11¢ on a serious geopolitical market.
Total
$2,091
Trades
1
Win Rate
84%
Wallet P&L
+$38,903
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of their resolved markets across 128 bets and has deployed about $2.07M total
- They sold No at 89¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 11¢ on Xi leaving power before 2027
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks like a deliberate macro view rather than noise in a dead market
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 11¢
Detected April 10, 2026 at 1:31 AM