Profitable serial trader adding to No

Legislative elections to elect the 35 members of the Congress of the State of Campeche are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Campeche as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Campeche. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Campeche, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Campeche and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Campeche (https://www.ieec.org.mx/).
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to a sizable No position in a thin market, though their win rate does not clearly exceed their average winning odds.
Total
$1,256
Trades
1
Win Rate
73%
Wallet P&L
+$121,626
Analysis
- This trader is up $115,511 across 1,376 resolved bets, with activity spanning 25 events.
- They added $1,256 to an existing No position at 85¢ in a market with only $3,744 in liquidity.
- Their 72% win rate is below their 93¢ average winning price, so the track record alone does not establish a clear edge.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 85¢
Detected October 14, 2026 at 6:32 AM