96% win-rate bettor
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate is taking a fresh binary position here, which is notable despite the modest size and otherwise routine market conditions.
Total
$1,609
Trades
1
Win Rate
96%
Wallet P&L
+$27,779
Analysis
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 463 markets.
- The trade is a fresh bet, not profit-taking, from a wallet that has traded 351 markets in 147 events.
- Selling No at 54¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 46¢, close to the current 44¢-45¢ market.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 46¢
Detected April 10, 2026 at 1:09 PM