80% win-rate serial trader
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate is taking a fresh directional position here, which is notable despite the modest size and meme-like market.
Total
$2,315
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$5,526
Analysis
- This bettor wins 80% of 1,277 resolved trades across 118 markets.
- The trade is a sell of Yes at 51¢, which translates to buying No around 49¢.
- They trade repeatedly across related event markets, suggesting a process rather than a one-off bet.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 49¢
Detected April 10, 2026 at 2:40 PM