Profitable serial trader adds to Yes

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A profitable, high-volume trader added about $18.2K to an existing Yes position during a sharp volume spike, making this a notable conviction trade despite limited evidence that the win rate beats typical entry odds.
Total
$18,197
Trades
3
Win Rate
90%
Wallet P&L
+$643,481
Analysis
- A bettor with 292 resolved bets is up about $676K lifetime and has a 90% win rate.
- They added about $18.2K in three Yes buys, building on an existing position of roughly $29K.
- The trades coincided with a 156× historical volume spike; the weighted entry was about 71¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 71¢
Detected October 18, 2026 at 8:19 PM