Seven-wallet funded Yes cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a curfew is officially announced in any part of the City of Paris, France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A curfew refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits the general population from being present in, or moving through, public spaces in the City of Paris, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A qualifying curfew may be citywide or limited to specific arrondissements or neighborhoods of Paris, and must be officially declared by the City of Paris, the Paris Police Prefecture (Préfecture de police), or a French national authority. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, curfews applying only to minors or other specific groups, and conditional or prospective statements that a curfew may be imposed will not qualify. Orders restricting demonstrations or gatherings, closures of specific parks, facilities or venues, restrictions on business hours or sales, and transit suspensions will not qualify unless they also impose a curfew as defined above. Any qualifying curfew which is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris local time will count regardless of if or when it goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Seven wallets linked by a shared funder backed Yes with $6,160 as market volume spiked, though the 88¢ entry is now well above current odds.
Total
$2,800
Trades
2
Win Rate
66%
Wallet P&L
+$271,424
Analysis
- Seven wallets sharing a funder put $6,160 behind Yes, a concentrated directional signal.
- Market volume reached 16× its historical average and Yes rose 51.7%, but current odds are 64% versus the trader’s 88¢ entry.
- The wallet has a 65% win rate across 295 resolved bets, but that record does not clearly establish an edge at these prices.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 88¢
Detected October 19, 2026 at 5:24 PM