88% win-rate political bettor
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% win rate bought Katie Porter Yes at 9¢, making this a notable long-shot political position worth tracking.
Total
$1,195
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$1,204,101
Analysis
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $920k lifetime.
- They trade across 117 markets and 70 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Bought Yes at 9¢, a cheap long-shot entry in a major political market that has already risen over the past week.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 9¢
Detected April 10, 2026 at 9:20 PM